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2024-12-13 04:45:35

Here, everyone who has read history should know that there is an old saying called "the power is not lower than the county, the county is the only clan, and the gentry is built by ethics". Let's retranslate this sentence and put it down. The decentralization of local debt approval is accelerating the process of debt conversion. You can understand that the major policies have been set and can be implemented, and the approval criticized by everyone is directly cut off. We must quickly complete the debt conversion and the county is the only clan.On Friday afternoon, I don't know if everyone went in to rush to play positions. In fact, for institutions, the positive line on Friday is actually not linked. Why do you say that?We used to tell you that we should look at the expectation of news stimulus together with exchange rate, national debt and bulk. From our point of view, the biggest problem in the A-share market lies in the mood. Compared with other markets, professional investors will be relatively calm. Let's take a look at Friday's composition about the biggest interest rate cut in ten years, right? Let's look at the exchange rate, national debt and commodities, which are definitely devalued. When the A-share market moves, it is accelerating the appreciation range. Look at 30 bonds and 10 bonds. Theoretically, the interest rate is reduced, and the interest rate is also reversed. Let's look at commodities. The sharp differences fell below 0.5 of Fibonacci's retracement after the morning closing, and even hit a new low at night. Several representative threads and so on can almost be said to have gone down after a while, that is, the attitude of big money is an emotion. On the other hand, A shares resisted all day, so you said that the national team did not intervene?


It is understood that there will be no big risk on our exchange rate side at the moment, and the stock market will not be as pessimistic as everyone thinks, and there are enough bullets.Speculation is purely about volatility, studying a lot of empty power and strictly stopping losses. I don't know if you have found a problem. Before, I met an uncle who was over 60 years old and made a stock. At first glance, the ticket for market value management was sloppy and had no fundamentals, but even if he bought it at the end of the day, he made a profit and ran down a little the next day. I made a quantitative back test and the ticket didn't exceed 0.3. Last year, this uncle did 142% of this operation on an annualized basis, and the light handling fee accounted for 4% of the funds, and the maximum withdrawal was 6%. This data means that almost all the public and private offerings in Shenzhen are suspended. Another question, have you found that in A-shares, as long as there is a scientific and technological direction guided by policies, don't worry about low-altitude quantum computing power or ai, and don't worry about how hard the callback is, it can't be stopped at all? It's very interesting, everyone. If everyone's capital is only tens of thousands, I think it is very necessary to study it. Suppose your principal is 100 thousand, 1% per day, 120w a year, and hundreds of millions in three years.So for next week, since it's super week, we'd better respect it, such as lowering positions, unloading leverage, meetings, and our cpi. This expectation can all go to 0.5, and the cpi of America is expected to go to 2.7. If these two important data are added to a meeting, the capital market will fluctuate violently, and there will be two turning points of re-inflation. Here's a data, remember what we said a long time ago.


Concentrate on doing big things while deploying the market. When the normal operation of the economy is in the inflation range, the market has higher strength and efficiency in resource allocation, then the market has the final say. When it is in the shrinking range, the market deployment fails, such as our current long-term debt, so it is driven by policies. We must know that next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan to solve the debt. We must know the buyout reverse repurchase operation of 800 billion yuan some time ago, unlessDon't think that shipping is a bad word. If you don't speed up the shipment, you can't follow the trend without pulling the board. You have worked hard for one year, waiting for the event-driven east wind, and the fire will burn quickly. This is the enjoyment of "tulip bubble"Then the difference of this bull market is that it is no longer resonated by external factors, or internal and external factors. This round of our excess stock savings has already seen its power after 924, which is only slightly loose.

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